Last night, it finally hit me [after a SeaSpin Chapter meeting]…It’s something that I’ve been thinking for at least 6 months, but couldn’t find a way to express it. What is it? I’m sure some people are aware of the amount of changes that will be triggered by VSTS [yeah, Microsoft’s Visual Studio 2005]. But, what I’m talking about goes beyond the developers’ space, I’m talking about the impact on the "business ecosystem" surrounding them.
This is a product that will spin the heads of many beyond their imagination - in positives and negatives ways - because:
o Small VB shops and boutique consulting firms will be enabled to be compete against medium and big consulting firms on government gigs without a huge overhead or the immense amounts of paperwork [How? A new MSF – CMMI (level 3) is embedded on it]. This won’t be done without pain [of course]…these same shops and consulting firms will have to change their mindset to be able re-configure how they would want to work. This will require training beyond the normal-technical product. It’s a cultural change.
o “Project Managers” in general could become pretty popular and many for the first time will have time to focus on other than chasing around people to understand their status or calculate the project’s CPI or really know how many issues and risks their project have at speed light and be able to do something about it ASAP. On the opposite side of the same token, some will need to ask if they really need a project manager with this new tool ;-).
o How about 'offshore' firms I don’t think they’ll be able to hold still to their prices, do you? I can believe that many US based companies will prefer to have a local (within their proximity, with the same culture, same time zone, and same usage of the language) ‘fairly affordable’ firm with a CMMI Level 3 compliance than a thousand miles away firm with a CMMI Level 5. Do you think these firms will be pis…of..? Maybe they’ll also adopt the product too? I wonder what they will do.
o And the Big Process Frameworks software products…how would they justify such a big pricing difference? Just with the weak areas of VSTS (i.e. requirements gathering). How long could they sustain that? Until the next release? In the meantime, at least, a few shops will live from closing this weakness [how many so called ‘integration’ plug-ins are there already available to fill in the gaps], right?
Well, I believe my point has been made…and I quote John Naisbitt, author of Megatrends, as Shel Israel did in his Naked Conversations (Chapter 2): “Everything never changes. Something has changed and that something will impact everything.”
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